Tuesday, August 9, 2011

WHO SAYS THE NEWS IS NOT PREDICTABLE

For those who have my course, take a look at our retail vs professional indicator.  Notice how once again, they wait until the end of the hour that the data is released.  This is to see which side the majority of retail traders took.  Today it shows they went short...Right now it's 15 min before the end of the next hour 4:00 pm est.  I see operators showing on the dramatic reversal from down to up. 

This may change as the op's start selling near the top, nest resistance level to end the hour. I smell flesh burning.  Retail flesh...That's the only thing truly predictable about the market.  The moves will go against retail traders.

Now listen up.  Do you think it was an accident that the head of the fed did not just say that they were keeping interest rates down.  Nope...He made sure to state that they would keep them down for 2 years, just to insure that the dollar would tank.  What did I tell you a few day ago about New world order.  The plan to purposely trash the dollar and then all other currencies...

No Fed chief in their right mind would say they are going to keep rates down 2 years...that is, unless they are new world order, which the fed surely is.  If you don't know, currencies rise when the interest rate goes up or they are talking about possibly raising interest rates down the road.  They call that a hawkish statement.  When they are considering lowering, that causes a currency to fall, and is called a dovish statement.

What kind of statement was it today?  It was an announcement more blatant than any I've seen in my 20 years of trading.  That announcement was, " we are here, we have taken control, we no longer even give a damn if you know, cause there is nothing you can do about it.  We are new world order...resistance is futile...you and your loved ones will be assimilated.  

I keep trying to tell you what's up and most of you keep telling me I'm paranoid and you don't have time cause they guy you just bought that get rich system from has pretty charts.

Well, you've still got my support/resistance charts from last week.  I told you the levels should be good for at least a week.  Take a look at them.  They ain't pretty like the guy's you just wasted your money on.  But, they will tell you what time it is...

Cheers, Jerry

Thanks for the heads up

The title link for the previous post is now working thanks to the heads up comment I got from one of my shadow followers...lol.  Many thanks..  Go to the previous link and click on the first link for video.
For some reason part 2 still won't upload..  Will try later.

Cheers, Jerry
jerry@forextradingmajic.com
jerryjstew@yahoo.com

PIVOTS WITHIN PIVOTS- MASTER VS FRACTAL PIVOTS PART 1




Trying to get part 2 uploaded.  Hopefully it will get through sometime today.  I can't make any promises, I'm too tired to fight them today.

In the meantime, here is an educational link that shows you what the matrix really is as far as the tools of the matrix.  Those with eyes shall see...Those with ears shall hear...and those with neither are just like in the move The Matrix.  Though they be your brothers and sisters, you will have to shoot them in the head in order for you to survive.  What do I mean by that?  Stop listening to THEY.  STOP ASKING THE OPINION OF THEY!  They say this and they say that.  IT IS THIS VERY THEY, THAT THE USE AGAINST YOU...

http://www.blogger.com/post-create.g?blogID=1343782991998654955

Down the road I will break down some of this super technology and show you how it's used against you, as well as how it's used against teachers like me.  For the rest of you.  Like the instructions for when the plane you're flying in has engine failure..  The instructions read as follows, " place head between legs,  kiss asshole goodbye...

Cheers, Jerry

LET THE MARKET TELL YOU WHAT IT WANTS TO DO 8:05 am est

Today is a dangerous day for retail traders.  The pairs are full of tweeners on the daily charts.  What are tweeners?  When a market is between support/resistance levels with no clear commitment where it wants to go. and the most recent equilibrium point ( pivot/balance point ) being relatively far away in time.

It's like, when you see the cops making some drunk driver walk the sobriety line.  He is weaving and wobbling but he is still walking that straight line.  We are laughing at him and saying, "How is he doing that?"  We can't figure out at any moment if he is going to straighten up or tumble down,,,A man walking a tight rope.  It's clear that he's drunk but, what's holding him on that line.  It's funny because we just don't know what step he will take next although it should be obvious, since he's drunk.  The point is, WE JUST DON'T KNOW...that's why it's so funny...

Today is one of those market days.  Yes, we can predict, we can guess, but what will the predictions be based on?  It's better to react than to predict.  It's like professional baseball.  The reporter asks the hitter, how did you get the winning hit, and the ballplayer says, "well, he threw me a changeup in the situation the last time and got me out so, I figured he would come back with the same pitch this time, and he did."  In other words, I predicted what he would do and GUESSED RIGHT...
But when I hear that question posed to the greatest hitters I've seen they usually have a different answer.  They say something simple like, "Hey man, my strategy is, SEE BALL...HIT BALL! I saw it well so I hit it well.  In other words, he did not predict, HE REACTED! One of those strategies will keep you around long enough to be in the hall of fame.  I'll let you decide which one.

The 4hr and 1hr pivot reversals have done just what they were supposed to do overnight. Performing like champions as usual.   However, when we look at the daily chart of the audusd, nzdusd, and usdcad (the commodity pairs ) we can see the potential for all of the pairs.

Now, don't get me wrong, I'm not confused.  The market can either do this or do that.  The thing is, I don't predict if it's gonna do this or do that.  I let the market tell me.  And like the drunken man, right now the market is telling me it's going to do this AND it's going to do that.  It has not chosen. No commitment. Yeah, but what about the big moves overnight?  Yawn... typical fibonacci retracements and trend continuation moves.  Oops, I forgot.  Those are principles, you only want techniques. So, I'm gonna skip all that and cut right to the chase.

I'm looking to SEE BALL, BEFORE I HIT BALL...

The gaps and subsequent moves off of them has the man on the charts drunk.  He's off balance and stumbling because of those gaps.  The gaps are caused by geopolitical events that have not yet run their course.  Case in point, the U.S. interest rate decision at 2:15 est today.  If you didn't know that picture a visual of me having you turned over my knee and spanking the hell out of you....Lol!!!

Now, what if, the operators are driving the herd hard against the dollar all night and half the day.  Everybody and their momma is piling in against the dollar.  Stampeding right into the slaughter house.  Now, nice and fat at 2:15 the butcher walks in in the form of positive dollar interest rate news.  All the beef stampedes to the exit at the same time.  And...the butchers are waiting.  On the way out all the cattle half to pay for their exit with a pound of ass...

Now, don't get me wrong.  I'm not saying this is going to happen.  I'm only saying this scenario needs to be considered a possibility based on my 20 years if seeing it happen many, many times.  So, our trading mentality needs to be adjusted accordingly.  I prefer to wait now but, if I see a quick in and out opportunity I may try it with the knowledge that I most probably will get my ass burned but hey,  I don't play the lottery and sometimes this is the way I play lottery. 

In all seriousness, there will be two types of traders today.  The quick and the dead.  And 99% of traders ain't nearly quick so, that leaves only one option.

At 8:30 we have some U.S. non farm news data being released.  The calender says medium impact but I wonder.  The markets are looking for anything to hold on too.  when you are wobbly you are clutching and grabbing for anything within reach.  CAUTION IS THE WORD FOR TODAY...

Many of my true backers are telling me that they have developed a sweet tooth for my videos so, I will try to come back with a little candy for you a little later.

For now look out for major Cad news in 10 minutes.  New home sales.  My be something to get the market hopping but with that interest rate decision hanging over the market, hedge all bets.

Cheers, Jerry